Business Archives - Parthian Securities - Your Smart Brokerage Firm http://staging.parthiansecuritiesng.com/tag/business/ A team of financial mavericks in Nigeria that helps you trade and access securities (equities) on the floor of the NGX, NASD OTC, and FMDQ. Here to make your money work for you Wed, 02 Aug 2023 18:26:13 +0000 en-US hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=6.3.3 https://i0.wp.com/staging.parthiansecuritiesng.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/11/cropped-favicon-1.jpg?fit=32%2C32&ssl=1 Business Archives - Parthian Securities - Your Smart Brokerage Firm http://staging.parthiansecuritiesng.com/tag/business/ 32 32 200043479 The Power of Compounding https://staging.parthiansecuritiesng.com/the-power-of-compounding-on-investment-and-personal-growth/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=the-power-of-compounding-on-investment-and-personal-growth Mon, 19 Jun 2023 14:55:21 +0000 https://staging.parthiansecuritiesng.com/?p=4815 Compounding can transform modest beginnings into substantial fortunes. Warren Buffett built his wealth through the power of compounding over decades. Consistent personal development efforts, like reading 10 pages a day, can also compound into a wealth of knowledge and growth. To fully harness compounding, start early, be consistent, reinvest dividends, and be patient for long-term financial success.

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In the world of finance and investment, there is a concept that stands above the rest, quietly working its magic over time. It’s called compounding. Often described as the eighth wonder of the world, compounding has the remarkable ability to transform modest beginnings into substantial fortunes. It is a force that operates with remarkable subtlety, yet its impact can be truly awe-inspiring. In this article, we will explore the power of compounding and understand why it is a crucial tool for long-term wealth creation.

Understanding Compounding

At its core, compounding refers to the process of generating additional returns on an initial investment by reinvesting the profits generated. This compounding effect results in exponential growth, as the profits themselves begin to generate further profits. It is a snowball effect that accelerates with time, creating a compounding curve that can yield extraordinary results.

Several real-life examples demonstrate the incredible power of compounding. Take, for instance, the story of Warren Buffett, one of the most successful investors of our time. Much of his wealth was amassed through compounding over decades of consistent investing.

The most common application of compounding is in the financial world. Whether it’s investing in stocks, bonds, or mutual funds, the power of compounding can work wonders for those who practice patience and consistency.

Consider this scenario: You invest ₦100,000 with an annual return of 7%. After one year, your investment would grow to ₦107,000. However, if you decide to reinvest those gains, the next year you would earn a return not only on your initial ₦100,000 but also on the ₦7,000 in gains. This process continues, and over time, the compounding effect becomes increasingly powerful

Financial Compounding: The Miracle of Money

The most common application of compounding is in the financial world. Whether it’s investing in stocks, bonds, or mutual funds, the power of compounding can work wonders for those who practice patience and consistency.

Consider this scenario: You invest ₦100,000 with an annual return of 7%. After one year, your investment would grow to ₦107,000. However, if you decide to reinvest those gains, the next year you would earn a return not only on your initial ₦100,000 but also on the ₦7,000 in gains. This process continues, and over time, the compounding effect becomes increasingly powerful.

Beyond Finance: Compounding in Life

While compounding is often associated with finances, its principles extend far beyond monetary realms. The power of compounding can be harnessed in various aspects of life, such as personal development, skill acquisition, and even relationships.

Let me give you a brief example with personal development. Imagine committing to reading 10 pages of a book every day. It may seem insignificant in the short term, but over time, those daily pages add up to knowledge and wisdom. At the end of the year, you would have completed approximately 3,650 pages, equivalent to about 10 substantial books. The consistent effort of reading just 10 pages per day compounds into a wealth of knowledge and personal growth.

Harnessing the Power of Compounding

To harness the full power of compounding, it is essential to follow a few key principles:

1. Start Early
The earlier you start investing, the longer your money has to compound. Even small contributions in your early years can have a significant impact on your long-term wealth.

2. Be Consistent
Regular and disciplined investing is crucial to maximize the benefits of compounding. Consistently contributing to your investments, even in smaller amounts, ensures a continuous flow of capital to compound.

3. Reinvest Dividends and Returns
Instead of withdrawing the gains generated by your investments, reinvest them to fuel the compounding process. By reinvesting, you allow your returns to work for you and generate further returns.

4. Patience is Key
Compounding is a long-term game. It requires patience and perseverance. Avoid the temptation of chasing quick gains and focus on the steady growth that compounding can offer.

In conclusion, compounding is a phenomenon that has the potential to transform your financial future. It enables individuals to harness the exponential growth of wealth over time. By starting early, being consistent, and allowing your investments to compound, you can unlock the incredible power of compounding.

Remember, even small steps towards investing and letting time work its magic can yield remarkable results. So, embrace the power of compounding and set yourself on a path to long-term financial success.

 

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The Liberation of (₦) Naira/US Dollar ($) Exchange Rate: Implications for Investors and Institutions https://staging.parthiansecuritiesng.com/the-liberation-of-naira-us-dollar-exchange-rate-and-what-it-means-for-your-investment/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=the-liberation-of-naira-us-dollar-exchange-rate-and-what-it-means-for-your-investment Thu, 15 Jun 2023 14:00:22 +0000 https://staging.parthiansecuritiesng.com/?p=4773 Explore the implications of the recent ₦/US$ exchange rate liberation directive by the CBN. Learn how this move can impact retail investors, institutions, and the Nigerian securities market. Find answers to interesting questions surrounding US dollar supply and institutional reforms.

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In a move that aligns with the current administration’s policy direction, the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) recently issued a directive to banks regarding the unification of exchange rates. This long-awaited decision, hinted by the President in his inaugural address, aims to address the challenges posed by multiple exchange rates and promote transparency in the market. While the implementation details are yet to be communicated, let’s explore the potential impact on various stakeholders and raises intriguing questions about the future.

Unifying Exchange Rates and Promoting Competition

It has been widely discussed and agreed that the multiple exchange rates are detrimental to the economy as the current system allows arbitrage.

The unification of the ₦/US$ exchange rates through deregulation is expected to eliminate arbitrage opportunities and enhance market competition. By removing the existing complexities, this liberalisation will encourage banks to actively support trade and provide facilities to credible businesses with foreign exchange (FX) needs. Strategic banks, seeking to diversify their earnings, will seize the opportunity to play in the FX market, boosting productivity in the economy. However, the black market may face challenges as more transactions shift towards commercial banks.

Implications for Retail Investors

The unification of exchange rates will impact retail investors in several ways. With no arbitrage opportunity between official and black/parallel market rates, saving money in USD may not be attractive unless you have specific US Dollar obligations. Moreover, the cost of US dollar obligations, such as foreign tuition, training courses, medical bills, and online applications, is likely to increase. Additionally, importation costs, including cars, electronics, and imported food, may rise, potentially leading to higher inflation.

What does this mean for Institutions?

This move is anticipated to benefit institutions engaged in exporting goods and services. However, payment for software applications and cloud computing is likely to become more expensive, potentially resulting in higher operating costs for businesses.

Implications for the Markets

The ₦/US$ exchange rate liberation could have significant effects on the Nigerian markets. In the equities market, the devaluation of the naira may prolong the rally on the Nigerian Exchange, making stock prices more affordable for foreign investors. On the other hand, the initial reaction in the fixed-income market could drive yields lower. However, in the mid-term, yields are expected to align with the monetary policy rate.

Addressing Concerns and Looking Ahead

As this transformative change takes place, some questions arise. How does the government plan to increase US dollar supply in the Nigerian market, considering the significant demand backlog and weak external reserves? Furthermore, considering that Ministries, Departments, and Agencies play a crucial role in policy implementation, when can we expect the initiation of institutional reforms?

The liberation of the ₦/US$ exchange rate marks a significant step towards a more transparent and competitive foreign currency market in Nigeria. While it brings potential benefits for various stakeholders, such as increased export opportunities and affordable stocks for foreign investors, certain challenges, such as higher costs for US dollar obligations, should be considered. As the implementation progresses, it is essential to address concerns and provide clarity on plans for increasing US dollar supply and initiating institutional reforms. By closely monitoring these developments, investors and market participants can adapt their strategies and make informed decisions in this evolving landscape.

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The Likely Economic Impacts of Fuel Subsidy Removal https://staging.parthiansecuritiesng.com/the-likely-economic-impacts-of-fuel-subsidy-removal/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=the-likely-economic-impacts-of-fuel-subsidy-removal Wed, 07 Jun 2023 10:23:28 +0000 https://staging.parthiansecuritiesng.com/?p=4735 President Tinubu's inaugural address has sparked a sequence of events that initiated a series of transformations, profoundly altering the energy landscape.

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Like a tender bud breaking free from its protective shell, growth requires the courage to endure discomfort. President Tinubu’s inaugural address has sparked a sequence of events that initiated a series of transformations, profoundly altering the energy landscape. Among these changes is the elimination of the fuel subsidy, resulting in a substantial increase in petrol prices.

The Back Story

Fuel subsidies in Nigeria were implemented to ensure affordable fuel prices for citizens and stimulate economic growth. As one of Africa’s largest oil producers, Nigeria heavily relies on crude oil for its economy, GDP, and employment opportunities.  However, sustainability concerns have emerged due to the strain on government finances and associated challenges.

The history of fuel subsidies in Nigeria dates back to October 2000 when supply inadequacies from the country’s refineries prompted the government to establish a committee to review petroleum product pricing and distribution. This committee led to the formation of the Petroleum Products Pricing Regulatory Committee (PPPRC), which later evolved into the Petroleum Products Pricing Regulatory Agency (PPPRA). The PPPRA utilizes a price modulation mechanism that allows for adjusting petroleum product prices in response to changes in global oil prices. This mechanism enables the government to regulate fuel prices and maintain stability in the domestic market.

However, fuel subsidies have become increasingly unsustainable in recent years. The high costs of maintaining subsidies, inefficiencies, corruption, and fraudulent practices have strained the government’s finances. The subsidies have also led to issues such as smuggling and black-market activities, economic distortions, and reduced investment in critical sectors. To address these challenges, the Nigerian government has undertaken efforts to reform the subsidy system. Recently, the newly elected president Bola Ahmed Tinubu announced the removal of the fuel subsidy resulting in the current fuel price hike. The recent fuel price hike has sparked debates and raised concerns about its impact on inflation, transportation costs, household budgets, and economic growth.

What does this mean for our Economy?

Subsidies distort market dynamics and discourage healthy competition in the oil industry. With the removal of petrol subsidies, the downstream sector can operate in a more market-driven environment. This fosters competition, encourages efficiency, and allows for a more dynamic and responsive industry.

The subsidy regime has disincentivized investment in local refining capacity in Nigeria. By removing petrol subsidies, the downstream sector becomes more attractive for investment in refining infrastructure. This can lead to the construction of new refineries and the expansion and modernization of existing ones. Increased refining capacity would reduce Nigeria’s reliance on imported petroleum products, boost local production, create jobs, and enhance energy security.

Furthermore, The removal of petrol subsidies can incentivize investment in alternative energy sources and technologies. With higher petrol prices, there is a greater motivation for consumers, businesses, and the industry to explore and adopt cleaner and more sustainable energy options. This could lead to increased investment in renewable energy, natural gas, and other environmentally friendly alternatives, fostering a transition to a more diversified energy mix.

From a fiscal sustainability perspective, removing fuel subsidies can alleviate the burden on the government’s finances. Redirecting funds from subsidies to priority sectors can help address budget deficits and create a more sustainable fiscal environment. This, in turn, can enhance investor confidence and attract foreign direct investment, signalling to foreign investors that the Nigerian government is committed to economic reforms and creating a favourable business environment.

On the Flip Side

The removal of petrol subsidies can contribute to inflationary pressure in the economy. Higher fuel prices result in increased transportation costs, which can lead to higher prices for goods and services. This can erode the purchasing power of consumers and negatively affect businesses’ profitability. The impact on inflation needs to be closely monitored and managed to ensure price stability and mitigate any adverse consequences on the broader economy.

Without subsidies, petrol prices would be subject to market fluctuations, including changes in global crude oil prices and exchange rates. This can lead to increased price volatility, making it difficult for consumers to predict and plan for their fuel expenses. Higher petrol prices could also put a strain on the budgets of individuals, households, and businesses, particularly those with lower incomes or operating on tight profit margins.

Removing petrol subsidies necessitates effective regulatory frameworks and enforcement mechanisms to prevent anti-competitive practices, price manipulation, and market distortions. Strengthening regulatory institutions and ensuring transparency in the sector is crucial to maintain a fair and competitive market environment.

How does this inflationary pressure affect the Equities Market?

Inflationary pressure can impact the Nigerian Equities Market in several ways.

Inflation can affect the valuation of equities. As prices rise due to high inflation, companies may be able to increase the prices of their products or services, leading to higher revenues. This, in turn, can positively impact their earnings and potentially increase the value of their stocks. However, if companies struggle to pass on higher costs to consumers or face margin pressures, their earnings may be negatively affected, leading to a decline in stock prices.

Also, a high inflation rate can create uncertainty and reduce investor confidence in the market. Investors may become more risk-averse and cautious, which can result in increased market volatility and potential sell-offs. This sentiment shift can negatively impact equity prices.

It’s noteworthy that different sectors of the economy are affected differently by inflation. Value stocks, that is established, slow growing firms with solid earnings, are known to outperform growth stocks in periods of high inflation.  Some industries are also known to be defensive which means they remain stable regardless of economic/market performance; examples include household products, food producers, pharmaceuticals, and utilities.

This is the best time for investors in the Nigerian market to adopt personal finance best practices of reviewing income and expenses, developing and sticking to a budget, saving and investing.  Investors must also pay careful attention to the diversification of their portfolios across industries.

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Ardova Plc’s Planned Exit from The Nigerian Exchange https://staging.parthiansecuritiesng.com/ardova-plcs-planned-exit-from-the-nigerian-exchange/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=ardova-plcs-planned-exit-from-the-nigerian-exchange Fri, 02 Jun 2023 13:12:43 +0000 https://staging.parthiansecuritiesng.com/?p=4706 On February 6, 2023, Ardova Plc issued a cautionary announcement, notifying the Nigerian Exchange and the investing public about an offer made by Ignite Investments & Commodities Limited, the majority shareholder holding over 74% of Ardova Plc shares. The offer proposes acquiring the shares of minority shareholders at a price of N17.38 per share through […]

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On February 6, 2023, Ardova Plc issued a cautionary announcement, notifying the Nigerian Exchange and the investing public about an offer made by Ignite Investments & Commodities Limited, the majority shareholder holding over 74% of Ardova Plc shares. The offer proposes acquiring the shares of minority shareholders at a price of N17.38 per share through a scheme of arrangement. Additionally, Ignite Investments expressed its intention to delist Ardova Plc from the Nigerian Exchange upon completion of the scheme.

Based on the corporate disclosure and scheme of arrangements documents analyzed by our team, it has been confirmed that the scheme of arrangement proposed by Ignite Investments & Commodities Limited has obtained a “No Objection” from the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). Furthermore, a court-ordered board meeting was held yesterday, May 31, 2023. This meeting signifies a significant step in the process of implementing the scheme of arrangement. 

While we await confirmation of the outcome of the court ordered board meeting, below are some points to note:

  • The Board and Management of Ardova highlighted recent operational challenges that have impacted the performance of the business and its ability to make attractive returns to shareholders citing the decline in security’s price on the exchange over the past 5 years as well as the decline in its dividend yield.
  • The Board and Financial Adviser, Stanbic IBTC Capital, in the scheme document highlighted the need for capital injection into the business and the consideration of the most appropriate funding method for the company.
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  • The conclusion of their analysis is that the majority shareholder will be better positioned to take strategic decisions, raise funds and drive the company’s operations by buying out the minority shareholders and delisting from the exchange.
  • They also stated that the company will be unable to make attractive returns to shareholders in the near term and advice minority shareholders to consent to the scheme.
  • According to the proposed timelines in the scheme document, June 22, 2023, will be the last trading day on the Nigerian Exchange.
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  • Ardova will be delisted from the Nigerian Exchange on June 29, 2023.
  • Though the dates were stated as indicative, we believe the transaction is on track to meet these timelines. 

Our View:

We advise shareholders holding Ardova to review their holding costs and take position as appropriate in line with the advised rate of N17.38.

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Oando shareholders’ drama and what it means for your investment https://staging.parthiansecuritiesng.com/oando-shareholders-situation-and-what-it-means-for-your-investment/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=oando-shareholders-situation-and-what-it-means-for-your-investment Tue, 16 May 2023 14:35:43 +0000 https://staging.parthiansecuritiesng.com/?p=4644 Recent reports have highlighted the growing unrest amongst minority shareholders of Oando, who are reportedly not satisfied with the current proposals surrounding the acquisition of their shares by the majority of shareholders. Displeased shareholders are challenging the exit price offered, claiming that it does not reflect a fair value. The Back Story Oando Plc disclosed […]

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Recent reports have highlighted the growing unrest amongst minority shareholders of Oando, who are reportedly not satisfied with the current proposals surrounding the acquisition of their shares by the majority of shareholders. Displeased shareholders are challenging the exit price offered, claiming that it does not reflect a fair value.

The Back Story

Oando Plc disclosed that it has received an offer from its core shareholder, Ocean and Oil Development Partners Limited (OODP), to acquire the shares of all minority shareholders in the company. Following the acquisition, the company will be delisted from NGX and JSE and re-registered as a private company. Under the Scheme, each Scheme Shareholder shall be entitled to receive the sum of N7.07 in cash or its equivalent in South African Rand (ZAR) for every ordinary share held by qualified Scheme Shareholders at the Effective Date of the Scheme.

What does it mean?

In this situation, there are two possible outcomes to consider. The first is the possibility of a revised offer, which would be higher than the previous N7.07 that was offered. The second possibility is the cancellation of the proposed scheme altogether.

It is worth noting that Oando has not made dividend payments to shareholders in recent years.

Valued by its assets, the company’s book value stands at about N111.00.  The company was loss-making in previous years but recorded a profit in its recently released 2021 audit. 

The market awaits 2022 audited reports to be released later this year.

Historically, when a majority shareholder wants to buy out the minority shareholders, they buy the shares of the minority shareholders at a predetermined price, or at a price determined by an appropriate valuation technique specified in an agreement (usually at a premium), in order to compel the minority shareholders to sell.

Our view

We believe that this is a good opportunity for investors with trading appetite to take position in Oando as we foresee volatility in the shares in the coming days. 

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